26/12/09-27/12/09

P&L for 26/12/09-27/12/09

Football : 4.62

P&L since last post : 4.62


Did we all have a good Xmas then?.

Football.

17 markets over 15 matches. All green but there were some close calls. I traded out clear just before the 3rd goal on the Man U game but hadn't greened up so I had to take a smaller green at a higher price. This happened on a Belgian game as well. So it could have been a smaller green or even a small red but fortune smiled on me.

The run up to new year has a fair few matches and I hope it's a good end to the year.

Keep it green everybody.

20/12/09-XMAS

P&L fro 20/12/09-XMAS

Football : 1.19

P&L since last post : 1.19

Merry Xmas everybody. I know what you are thinking, what saddo updates his blog on xmas day?. I simply forgot last night.

Football.

A quiet week as you would expect. 5 matches traded for a reasonable green.

For all the betting addicts out there if you missed the Filipino basketball this morning the Russian in-play ice hockey starts at 1300, LOL.

Have a merry green Xmas everyone.

19/12/09-20/12/09

P&L for 19/12/09-20/12/09

Football : 5.58

P&L since last post : 5.58

A green weekend, woohoo!!.

Football.

25 markets over 23 matches. One red. I missed some of this afternoons matches as I had to go out. I didn't take the red straight away but hummed and ha'd over it for a while, so not a stunning display of discipline but I did take it in the end. I won't dwell on the fact that the match ended with no more goals.

I needed a good weekend to break the up down cycle that I've been in for the last 2 weeks. I hope it continues.

Keep it green everybody.

15/12/09-18/12/09

P&L for 15/12/09-18/12/09

Football : 1.93

P&L since last post : 1.93

Football.

8 markets over the same number of matches, mostly end of match trades. I did not get any trading done on Wednesday night as I was out and Thursday and Friday I only just caught the tail end of the games due to late finishes.

So here come the weekend again and we'll see if I have learned anything. There will inevitably be a red at some point, the question will be can I look at the larger picture and take that red rather than risk my whole stake to avoid it.

Bit chilly out

Keep it green everybody.

12/12/09-14/12/09

P&L for 12/12/09-14/12/09

Football : -1.98

P&L since last post : -1.98

Meant to do the blog post this morning but I forgot.

Football.

30 markets over 27 matches. Once again a lack of discipline let me down. I was doing well on Saturday when I got caught out during a trade and I foolishly let it ride. An injury time goal cost me my entire stake and once again I realize what a Muppet I was. When all was said and done if I had taken the red I would have ended the day well into the green instead of finishing with a red. I did manage to red out on a match on Sunday when a goal came during a trade so maybe I am learning painfully slowly.

Not an insurmountable loss though. At least I am sticking to my staking plan.

Keep it green everybody.

7/12/09-11/12/09

P&L for 7/12/09-11/12/09

Football : 1.45

P&L since last post : 1.45

Football.

21 matches traded this week. Took a loss on 1 match and fortunately took the red as there was a 96th minute goal that would have cost me. Missed out on a green on the German match tonight when I completed my trade but forgot to hedge the green and 2 late goals left me with nothing, but no red.

Keep it green everybody.

The usual weekend of busy football ahead. Must stay disciplined.

4/12/09-6/12/09

P&L for 4/12/09-6/12/09

Football : -4.20

P&L since last post : -4.20


Not what I had hoped for. I desposited £40 on Friday and the rollercoaster began again.

Football.

43 markets, 3 losses, one a big one. I lost discipline on the Valenciennes v Monaco backed under 3.5 when it was 1-1, a goal came at 85 mins and I foolishly let it ride. I was extremely miffed when injury time went on just long enough for a 4th goal and then the ref called it. I was able to take my red on the two other matches and if I had taken my red on the third I would have been posting a £5+ green. Lessons must be learnt.

Keep it green everybody.

30/11/09-01/12/09

P&L for 30/11/09-01/12/09

Football : -9.36

P&L since last post : -9.36

Ridiculous display of chasing and bad discipline to start December.

Football.

Monday was okay with 7 markets over 6 matches. Today I took a loss on the Sampdoria v Livorno match when the second goal caught me. I took the red and tried to put it out of my mind but I then for some reason went full bank on under 2.5 in the Sedan v Nantes match with it 1-0 at 81 mins. When 2-0 came at 83 mins I did exactly the wrong thing and let it ride , loathe to take another red for some reason. Piss poor gambling behaviour and I paid for it at 90 mins when it went 3-0.

So Busto!!... Again!!.

I will be having a couple of days off and will try to remind myself of what I know is the correct way to go. Start again on Friday with £10.

Keep it green everybody.

28/11/09-29/11/09

P&L for 28/11/09-29/11/09

Football : 2.07

P&L since last post : 2.07

Football.

Another busy weekend.26 markets over 25 matches. Nice green obtained but there were some awfully close calls due to my lack of attention and recklessness. I was nearly caught by the second chelsea goal when I went in on a trade without checking the score or the time but I was fortunate to notice and cancel it just before the goal was scored. I must pay more attention.

Keep it green everybody.

23/11/09-27/11/09

P&L for 23/11/09-27/11/09

Football : 1.09

P&L since last post : 1.09

Football.

A quiet week for me with only 10 matches traded over the 5 days. This came from a combination of working late and not having my mobile Internet connection anymore. I canceled it due to poor service and high cost and haven't got around to getting a replacement yet.


I did not get involved in any of the tennis this week although I was tempted. In retrospect it was probably a good idea considering some of the results.

The usual weekend of football is upon us. Let's see what it brings.

Keep it green everybody.

21/11/09-22/11/09

P&L for 21/11/09-22/11/09

Football : 1.23

P&L since last post : 1.23


Football.

27 markets over 21 matches. I did take a loss on the Stoke v Portsmouth match when after 74 mins of nothing a goal was scored just as I was going in for a tick. I took the red though which I should be pleased with rather than gambling on it not going over, which of course it didn't. Slowly advancing as before.

I totally forgot that there was tennis on today. May catch the end of the Fed v Verdasco match.

Keep it green everybody.

16/11/09-20/11/09

P&L for 16/11/09-20/11/09

Football : -11.33

P&L since last post : -11.33

5 days without a post. I'm sure you were all worried sick. lol. I wish it was a better one.

Football.

Monday and Tuesday were bad days with me taking big losses on matches and chasing a bit over staking and I was a bit lax for the rest of the week so there wasn't a lot to report. I only did 16 markets over 15 matches all week. Yesterday(19/11) I was tired from early shift all week so when I finished some errands I decided to have a lie down before the 1700 matches started and I woke up at 2230. I missed everything and had to laugh, guess I was more tired than I thought.

A normal football weekend ahead and I will try to keep ticking away with what I have and not do anything stupid.

13/11/09-15/11/09

P&L for 13/11/09-15/11/09

Football : 4.04

P&L since last post : 4.04

Bumper weekend despite the limited offerings.

Football


35 markets over 32 matches. The high number of low scoring matches enabled me to make a lot of small trades which all added to the total. I wasn't conscious of the total as I went along and was surprised when I saw it at the end of the weekend, I just kept plugging away where I saw an opening.

Matches still limited due to international happenings as we go into the week.

Keep it green everybody.

11/11/09-12/11/09

P&L for 11/11/09-12/11/09

Football : 1.11
Tennis : -1.98

P&L since last post : -0.87

Football.

11 markets over 9 matches. Pretty steady stuff.

Tennis.

Small greens on Davydenko and Murray( before he pissed it away). I got caught out on the flip flop during the Nadal v Almagro match. Having backed Nadal when he was 5-1 up in the tie break and then topped up on him when he broke Almagro in the first game of the third set I was looking at taking a reasonable green but got greedy and decided to let it ride. Of course he lost his lead and then was getting treatment for his foot and things started to get iffy. At one point he could not seem to get a ball over then net and his price started to soar. I red out but unfortunately I don't leave it there. Like a chasing undisciplined muppet I back Almagro and of course then Almagro has his cramping problems and I have to red out on him. In a last ditch attempt to salvage I go full bank again on Nadal and he managed to take it from his injured opponent. Mistakes made , not greening up when I had the chance, not taking the red initially after failing to green up, flip flopping back and forward between players, using my full bank in a chasing attempt to minimize the red. At the moment I could add trading on tennis at all to the list the way the results have been since the US open. I may stick to football exclusively until the new year but with the big names in London soon I may get sucked in.

A quieter weekend of football ahead with just the internationals on so I'll just do what I can.

Keep it green everybody.

09/11/09-10/11/09

P&L for 09/11/09-10/11/09

Football : - 1.38
Tennis : -0.62

P&L since last post : -2.00

Not the best couple of days.

Football.

I got caught out on the Liverpool v Birmingham match and took a red there. I also go stung on over 2.5 goals in Real Madrid v Alcorcon when the expected rash of goals did not occur. I should know better about these spanish cup games. I managed 9 other markets successfully.

Tennis.

I looked to the tennis to recoup some of my losses, perhaps chasing a bit. A small trade on Davydenko went okay. I backed Wawrinka prematch thinking he would have little trouble with Guez(WHO??!!) but alas he was not playing his best and I had to red out. I did managed a green on Verdasco when he started to pull it back after loosing his initial lead.

I have got to stop chasing and accept that there will be losses and that they are a natural part of the process. Not every trade can be green. Trying to recoup on trades that I would otherwise not make only increases the losses. The bankroll management helped keep the losses down though

Keep it green everybody.

06/11/09-08/11/09

P&L for 06/11/09-08/11/09

Football : 2.61

P&L since last post : 2.61


Football.

40 markets over 35 matches this weekend. Forgive me I'm not going to break it down day by day. Suffice it to say I just plugged away 1 or 2 ticks at a time and didn't take any losses. Did get caught on one suspension that turned out to be nothing. I had a couple of longer trades inadvertently when the Bettrader Evolution software began playing up and I had to restart it. I had Internet problems as well mid matches which had to be resolved, thankfully quickly.

No tennis done this weekend as all the big name tennis coincided with football matches and I don't like to be in too much on these last matches of the season stuff. Too unpredictable. Djoko v Wawrinka case in point. I bet a lot of people lost on that one or made a fortune if you were a Djoko devotee.

I will carry on plugging away and hopefully taking green. Stay disciplined.

Keep it green everybody.

04/11/09-05/11/09

P&L for 04/11/09-05/11/09

Football : 1.11
Tennis : 0.33

P&L since last post : 1.44


Football.

14 markets over 12 matches. Just plugging away 1 tick at a time. I had a good start by backing under 2.5 on the Barca match and letting it run for 20 ticks. A bit reckless but considering the weather I didn't think it would be a high scoring match despite what the odds said.

Tennis.

Just 2 matches traded. Had to sit through the dogs dinner that was the end of the Davydenko v Monaco match to get my green. The Robredo v Lopez game was a much easier in and out.

I am now not setting any stake button in my trading software but the percentage I am using in the hopes that this will curb my reckless tendencies.

Keep it green everybody.

02/11/09-03/11/09

P&L for 02/11/09-03/11/09

Football : -90.10
Tennis : -0.11

P&L since last post : -90.21


Yes I pushed the self destruct button again and pissed away my bank.

02/11

Football.

4 markets, 4 matches. I made fairly reasonable green and stuck within my limits.


03/11

Tennis.

A small lay of Andy Murray which I dumped for a tick loss when it looked like he was starting well. He did fluff it a bit letting his opponent come back into it so a lay would have greened up if I had waited but... whatever.

Football.

Took a loss on two of the champions league matches nothing spectacular but I was unhappy about it and I went chasing on the late Brazilian match. I backed under 1.5, full bank, with about 15 mins left intending to green out enough to recover my loss but I got caught out by a goal, the first of the match. I should have taken the red but I just sat there and watched it. With about 3 mins to go the price dropped back below my initial back and I could have scratched it but .... I didn't. I had it in my head that after sitting through the last 10 mins I deserved something for my trouble LOL. When 90 mins came and 3 mins of injury time was posted I thought ENOUGH!!, I'll take the green. I bashed the green out button and the delay countdown began. The market suspended for the second goal with one second to go and it's all gone.

Once again the lesson has been hammered home that being an undisciplined impatient gambler gains you nothing. Months of time and effort down the drain again. Another bank built from £5 to £100 and then pissed away... AGAIN!!!.
Have I learned anything?. We'll see. Another £5 deposited and off we go again.
You can expect the blog to be a bit flat and uninspiring for a bit(no change then LOL). I will be playing it very safe while I rebuild.

Keep it green everybody.

31/10/09-01/11/09

P&L for 31/10/09-01/11/09

Football : -19.73

P&L since last post : -19.73

Football.

31/10

I started off the day well enough with green on the Russian match. I was determined to do well on the Arsenal v Tottenham game and that probably contributed to what happened next. You should never intend a result other than green as it pushes you into foolish risks. I for some reason started trading FULL BANK. Where is my discipline?, my staking plan? WTF??!!. I had hedged a large green and was quite chuffed with myself when I decided to do one last trade before half time. Of course I was caught in the double whammy and of course I had to red out. I took a 69% loss of bank. I could not believe my stupidity. Months of time and effort down the drain. I closed the market and decided not to trade again until the 1500 matches with my much reduced bank.
I did trade the Everton v Aston Villa and Man U v Blackburn games for small green but I was still reeling. I stopped for dinner.
I came late to the Xerez v Sevilla match and with only one goal and about 10 mins left to go I was deciding on a trade when I backed under 2.5 at 1.16 and then left a lay in at 1.01. I was all green before the 90th min second goal. The chase began.
On to the AC Milan v Parma match I did the same thing. I backed unders with about 10-12 mins to go and left a lay in at 1.01 and again I was green before another 90th min goal. I know this was foolish but I was past caring.
On to the Ath Bilboa v Atl Madrid . This time I shortened it from 1.09 to 1.05, I'm not sure why perhaps some semblance or sense reasserting itself.
Final match of the night was Braga v Beneficia backed under 2.5 at 1.17 and what I feared would happen eventually I got caught in the second goal... but I didn't red out. I let it run and it came green. I don't know where my head was, relying on pure luck like that.

So I ended the night having reduced my loss to 44% of bank and wondering where I would go tomorrow.

01/11

I had a brilliant(sarky) started to the day when my debit card got declined at the checkout in Asda first thing. I stood trying to figure it out while the people in the queue behind me were probably thinking 'destitute gambling degenerate'. Okay maybe that part was my imagination but it felt like that. Finally I realised the damn card had expired at the end of October. I normally only notice these thing when the new one comes but no card had arrived. Something to ask the bank about tomorrow, no doubt the postal chaos will be trotted out as a reason. I had to pay for my shopping with a credit card.

So on to the trading, and I use the term very loosely. I quick trade on the Herucles v Sociedad match to start the day off. I used only a percentage of bank and no long chasing trade. So far so good.
Well that didn't last long. 1860 Munich v Kaiserslutern. Another last 10 ticks trade full bank. I guess I wasn't done chasing. I did variations of the same thing for the rest of the day. Sometimes full bank, sometimes 50%. Sometimes no goal came, sometimes I just dodged one i.e. Cardiff v Nottm Forest. By the last match of the night I had reduced my red to 18% of my bank before I took the loss.

I know that I have been incredibly fortunate to manage this and I know it was blind luck and could have gone very differently. So I go into the rest of the new month with a vow to stick to my staking plan and to try and be disciplined as if there is a next time I might not be so fortunate.

Keep it green everybody.

29/10/09-30/10/09

P&L for 29/10/09-30/10/09

Football : 4.18

P&L since last post : 4.18

Football

Only 5 markets over 4 matches for this post. There were an awful lot of high scoring matches and I don't get on well in those. I prefer a nice 0-0/1-0 fast descending unders market. Managed to squeeze out a decent green without taking too many chances.

The weekend is upon us once more. I hope it is less of a rollercoaster than last weekend.

Keep it green everybody.

26/10/09-28/10/09

P&L for 26/10/09-28/10/09

Football : 5.52

P&L since last post : 5.52


Football.

Just 9 markets over 8 matches over the last 3 days. Despite all the in-play matches on with the Carling Cup and euro equivalents my heart hasn't been in it. I hurt my back again on Monday and to make things extra tough I have Flu as well. So my enthusiasm level hasn't been at top notch but still able to post a green. Starting to feel a bit better now though so hopefully tip top for the weekend.

Keep it green everybody.

23/10/09-25/10/09

P&L for 23/10/09-25/10/09

Football : -31.35

P&L since last post : -31.35

What a weekend. I know that not every weekend can be a green festival but bloody hell. 38 markets over 30 matches

Football.

23/10

Friday got off to a terrible start when after doing two successful trades on the Watford v Sheffield Wed I got caught out on the second goal and had to red out for £27.23 loss. What a stupid goal it seemed as well. He just kind of shoved between two defenders who sort of stood there and watched him go and kicked it past the keeper who's dive seemed pointless. Perhaps just how it looked on tv.
So I was a bit annoyed and traded 3 other matches before the end of the night reducing the red by a small amount.

24/10

Saturday started much better with me seeing green in fair quantities, especially on the Wolves v Villa match, and at the end of the Tottenham v Stoke match I was within £3 of being back into green for the weekend. Tragedy struck with Derby taking the first goal against QPR so I took a £15 red but stupidly rather than leave it there I got a chasing bug and went back in again only to get caught out again on the second goal because I wasn't paying attention to the fact that a free kick was about to be taken and more than doubled my red to £30.27 for that match. I took the hint and left that match alone after that.
I carried on with the Spanish, Italian, and Portuguese matches and recovered some of the red but then threw it away on the New York v Toronto match where I decided to try a first 10 mins traded thinking the sodden pitch would hold things up to start. Instant 1st min goal and a £6.37 red taken. I went to bed disgusted with myself.

25/10

Started of the day well with a green result on the J-league match only to take a red on the Russian game. Sigh!!. I got a bit reckless after this and pressed hard on the afternoons premier league games and despite Liverpool pressing hard on Man U I gained a massive green from that match which settled me down a bit. I traded a bit more calmly after that and was looking to post a red of about £12 for the weekend when I saw that Chevio v AC Milan was still 1-0 as it went into the last 10. I did get in on the U 2.5 only for a goal to come and I dumped it for a small £2.73 red. For reasons I can't even explain to myself when the Porto v Academicia match was 3-1 with about 2 mins to go I tried to recover that £2.73 on the U 4.5 market only to get caught but the dying moments goal and took red of £19.05. Utterly ridiculous!! What was I thinking??!!. One quick trade on the Brazilian match ended the weekend with me clinging just above my most recent target.

£91.72 of red and £60.37 green. I got too emotionally involved and the was unable to take the initial red on the chin and wanted to recover it all by the end of the weekend. This made me press harder than I should and do some downright ridiculous things. This is one of those weekends that could have easily resulted in a near total loss of bank. As it is I came out better than I should have. I must work harder to be less emotionally invested in my trades. Much to think about.

Keep it green everybody.

21/10/09-22/10/09

P&L for 21/10/09-22/10/09

Football : 8.46

P&L since last post : 8.46


The ups and the downs.

Football

21/10

I didn't think I would get any trading done tonight as my Eeepc had refused to boot up during the day and it has the Betting assistant software on it. When I got home and tried it again though it worked fine, Hmmm. I started in on the Chelsea v Atl Madrid game and had completed 3 successful trades before getting caught out, fortunately I had not been completely matched and so the loss was minimised. I traded 3 other Cl matches and managed to eek back into green for the day.
I had the River Plate v San Lorenzo match open just out of interest and there was a surprising amount of liquidity in the market, probably from people chasing there CL losses. I did several trades throughout the course of the match and brought my green for the day up to a more pleasing amount.

22/10

Once again after completing several trades I got stung on the Beneficia v Everton game. The loss was larger than I would have liked but discipline held and I took the red. Discipline then fell apart as I did a long trade through most of the rest of the first half to cut the red in half. I left it alone after that which was good considering how the rest of the match went. I traded 3 other matches which brought my red down just £0.04 for the day.

The Eeepc not working during the day may have saved me from a Davydenko loss as Safin beat him and I was able to steer myself away from WTA as well.
I'm still having discipline and patience issues and I've been fortunate not too take big losses. Still have to work on reigning myself in and not being so greedy. Usual Friday evening fare tomorrow and then into a busy weekend. Let's hope for another green one.

Keep it green everybody.

19/10/09-20/10/09

P&L for 19/10/09-20/10/09

Football : 2.31

P&L since last post : 2.31

Football.

I did well in the Fulham V Hull match on Monday night with several trades on under 2.5 and 3.5. It was my only match that day so I was pleased.
I missed the first half of all the champions league matches tonight. I started doing trades on the Liverpool v Lyon match in the second half and had built up a reasonable green but was greedy and got caught out on the second goal and had to red out for a loss. The Arsenal and Barcelona matches allowed me to scrape back into the green by £0.29 for the two days. I did a couple of trades on the Brazilian 2nd div match to bring me up to the mammoth total you see at the top. Pity about the red tonight but you can't win 'em all and at least I stuck to my staking plan.

I had been tempted by Clijisters on today's tennis but at 1.03 it was a ludicrous option. It's WTA for crying out loud. Both Davydenko and Soderling are playing tomorrow. Davy is 1.43 against Safin??. Maybe a post win reaction, who knows.

Keep it green everybody.

16/10/09-18/10/09

P&L for 16/10/09-18/10/09

Football : 26.89
Tennis : -11.45

P&L since last post : 15.44

The roller coaster continues.

16/10

Tennis.

I stayed true to my track record of immediately taking a big loss after having reached a target and this time in the most stupid way.
I had greened up my match odds trade of Davydenko v Stepanek and with Davydenko serving what turned out to be the final game of the match I opened set betting to see if there was any option there, not expecting there to be. I was surprised to see money available at 1.05 on 2-1 Davy and leaped on it without thinking. I was even more surprised when a ridiculous green figure appeared atop the market and couldn't figure it out at first until I realised I had been matched at 200???.... OH NO!!!!. Yes I had backed 2-0 instead of 2-1 because I wasn't paying attention and acted too hastily. The game was in the third set so obviously it was an instant loss. What a Muppet!!!.
Seething a little but trying, and failing, not to let it get to me I did trades on Djoko and Nadal in their matches later in the day. Both were nerve wracking because the early loss had me loathe to red out and indeed they did both come good in the end but it was bad discipline.

Football.

4 markets over 3 matches in the evening. Decent green made without pushing it too much. Quite a nice end to the day considering how it started.

17/10

Tennis.

Small trade on the Davydenko v Djoko match was the only tennis of the day for me. I didn't want to get too involved and the match was all over the place for the both of them.

Football.

Missed all of the morning and early afternoon football due to a visitor who showed up later than expected and stayed longer than wanted. I finally got on the second halves of both Arsenal v Birmingham and Sunderland v Liverpool. The 'pool game was great and I racked up big green with probably more trades than was smart (that patience thing again). The Arsenal match was a bit daft with me getting caught out on the late goal and doing a cross fingered approach. Stupid stuff even though it came through, could have just as easily gone the other way. Not many matches done after that, although I did pull some nice green out of the Newcastle and Barcelona games.

18/10

Tennis.

I had to go out in the morning and wasn't certain if Nadal could win the final but felt he would go up and down a bit so I stuck in a trade for a small stake over a larger range than normal and it did green out thankfully before he went on to lose.

Football.

I was out all morning and didn't get home until the end of the Blackburn v Burnley game so nothing done there. Small trades on many of the matches with Wigan v Man City being my biggest green with U 2.5 and 3.5 . I did well in the Ath Bilboa v Gijon U 2.5 but got caught out on the U 3.5 market when the 3rd goal came and had to red out reducing the day's green.

Happy enough with the end result of the weekend considering my reds totaled £34.60 and my greens came to £50.04. I'm still kicking myself a bit on the stupid tennis market mistake and it affected me throughout the weekend. The target was once again achieved and I've switched to 10% staking again although this time I'm using 10% of start of day bank + days profit so far stake. Probably another sign of my greedy impatience but we'll see how it goes. Tennis front will be quiet this week with no big matches coming up. Plodding onward.

Keep it green everybody.

14/10/09-15/10/09

P&L for 14/10/09-15/10/09

Football : 14.41
Tennis : -5.92

P&L since last post : 8.49

14/10

Tennis.

A foolish start to the day. I backed Safin at the beginning of the 2nd set. It looked like he would take the match easily with Berdych appearing to be injured but what followed was ridiculous. Safin appeared to fall apart mentally and began UE all over the place after a lucky net cord clinched a break for Berdych. I lost count of the number of times Safin had an easy put away and instead belted it over the line or into the net. At one point in the third he was heckling Berdych about his leg injury which was a bit much for a supposed pro sportsman. I managed to get out with just £10.80 red which I still consider a miracle. Bad discipline on my part.
I know I had said I would be steering clear of Nadal but I got sucked in after he took the first off Blake and so I backed him but of course it started to go wrong in the second and the price began to rocket upwards. I decided to red out but my iffy mobile BB connection was playing up and I had to reset it and in the time it took to do that the price came back down to where I could get out for a small green which I took and felt relieved.

Football.

I did reasonably well on the four European group WC matches I traded but it was the South American group matches I did much better on . I did several Peru v Bolivia trades and had a fluke price drop on a Uruguay v Argentina trade which netted me 7 ticks instead of the 1 tick the lay was placed for. This not only pushed me into green for the day but also pushed be back over the target I have been dancing above and below for the past two weeks. Waheey!.

15/10

Tennis.

Started the morning with green on the Davydenko v Gonzalez match. I thought Gonzalez was a bit over the top with his criticism of Davy on the challenge delay issue, didn't appear to be taking too long to me. A small trade on Soderling v Tsonga came next. In the afternoon I once again got sucked into the Nadal vortex. I backed him on 2-0 but after consideration scratched it when my discipline finally reared it's head. This proved to be a good decision as the price began to rise steeply. Nadal did recover it in the end and take the 2-0 but I didn't need the stress.

Football.

I did not expect to trade any football today as there was only 2 matches on. When I got home I had a look at the England v Wales U16 match and there was a decent enough amount of liquidity on so I traded it for a bit and I even got to see a runaway hot air balloon chase on Fox news which was on the stream during half time.

Another busy weekend of Football approaches and I hope it will be a good one. Patience!!!. I must have PATIENCE!!. I have been trying to force things too much.

Keep it green everybody.

12/10/09-13/10/09

P&L for 12/10/09-13/10/09

Football : -1.15
Tennis : 3.22

P&L since last post : 2.07

12/10

Tennis.

Just the one match traded, Blake V Karlovic. My first trade went roaring in the opposite direction leaving me with an annoying red but I managed to bring it back to green by the end of the match, just!. I should have stayed clear of Blake.

Football.

A bad start to the football with a boredom trade on the Greek Div 2 match which went wrong leaving me with big red and feeling stupid. The Tranmere v Stockport match went a long way to making me feel better though and a small green from the Portugese match helped too.

13/10

Tennis.

Started the day with the Davydenko v Kunitsyn and Hewitt v Isner matches. I was up and down on both before settling for minor green. I went on to the Soderling v Hanescu match and did much better there.

Football.

Just the 2 matches tonight for me. Brazil v Costa Rica and Eire v Switzerland. I did reasonably well on both, before and after first goal.

I'm glad to see overall green after all the red I saw over the last two days. I will have to keep myself in check from the small matches especially while bored. A lot of internationals tomorrow, but that annoyance called work will keep me away from most of it. I will also steer clear of the Nadal v Blake match as well, too much can go wrong.

Keep it green everybody.

09/10/09-11/10/09

P&L for 09/10/09-11/10/09

Football : 27.16
Tennis : -17.22

P&L since last post : 9.94

Oh what a weekend.

09/10

Tennis

I backed Nadal 2-0 when he took the first set from Safin and I was able to let it run to 1.01 for a nice green.

Football

Only the one match traded Greece v Portugal U21. I was not in the mood and had a visitor as well so I decided to leave it there.

10/10

Tennis.

I had not planned to get up early for the tennis but my neighbours had other ideas, bastards!!. So as I was awake I took a look at the Soderling v Djoko match and did a quick trade at just the right moment that went very well. I unfortunately followed that up with a pre-match back of Nadal against Cilic. Eventually I admitted that Nadal was not going to recover the first set and redded it out. I did not want to flip to Cilic as that can be a recipe for disaster with Nadal and Indeed he did begin to look like he was going to recover his game. I put another small back on Nadal and did have the chance to reduce my red drastically but got greedy and decided to hold out. So I lost a bit more when Nadal just couldn't find the form and Cilic was playing very well. £25.18 red. A bad start to the day.

Football.

I was not optimistic at recovering my big loss as there was just the internationals to do but I did get back to green for the day thanks mainly to the Japan v Scotland. Lots of liquidity and nothing happening in the match. I traded throughout the match and made an impressive green. The green continued to come over the next 12 markets/10 matches and I was chuffed with the days endeavours if not with the way it began.

11/10


Tennis.

Djoko v Cilic in the final. I watched the first 2 games to see how they were playing and then began laying Djoko during the Cilic serve and greening it out when it rose 5 ticks higher. I good green when the rain came and wish I had left it there. A couple of hours later when I looked back in on the match and Djoko has just recovered his break from Cilic I backed Djoko but of course it went a bit awry at this point and I had to red it out, ouch. As the tie break went to 6-3 Djoko I backed Djoko set betting which brought my red for the match to £0.12. This week has not been my strongest for Tennis at all.

Football.

Limited opportunities on the football. Danish Div 1, Italian Serie B, Spanish Segunda, and a Bolivia v Brazil WC match. I kept the trading to a minimum and just took small opportunities when I could. So a good enough day considering what was available.

An all green weekend on the football, no losses. It's a shame the tennis let me down. but still a green weekend. Will Nadal regain his form?. I doubt it will magically reappear for Shanghai so I will have to perhaps steer clear of him if he is going up against anyone with a smattering of ability. One thing you can say about him though is he never gives up and will battle every point no matter how far behind, whereas a lot of the bigger names if they are staring defeat in the face will just surrender in the final game. We will have to see what happens.

Keep it green everybody.

07/10/09-08/10/09

P&L for 07/10/09-08/10/09

Football : 4.81
Tennis : 7.09

P&L since last post : 11.90


Football.

7 markets over 4 matches. Limited matches due to the internationals this weekend. Still a decent green outcome.

Tennis.

I attempted a trade on the Verdasco v Ferrero but scratched it when it looked iffy. I did back Djokovic against Troicki but dumped it early on for a couple of ticks when Djoko had a poor start and Serb tanking conspiracy theories started going round in my head. Daft I know.
I did a very quick trade on Youzhny that turned quite big when the market dropped suddenly which made for a good start to the day. I broke my WTA rule by backing Petrova when she was 5-2 up in the TB in the final set. It went up and down and with Petrova serving at 6-5 I was considering dumping it for a loss to play it safe when the game finished so quick I didn't get a chance. Turns out the stream I was watching was over a minute behind. In fact when it suspended there was still quite a bit available to back at 1.34.

I will have to reign myself in and not back WTA no matter how tempting it is. Hope for a good weekend.

Keep it green everybody.

05/10/09-06/10/09

P&L for 05/10/09-06/10/09

Football : -6.52
Tennis : -22.58
Snooker : 1.07

P&L since last post : -28.03

Today has been a terrible day.

05/10

Tennis.

So the China Open begins. Just the one trade this morning on Djoko v Hanescu. It had to be a blind trade as although I was awake I was working and unable to monitor the match. I didn't think he'd have much trouble, however this is not the best strategy as it turns out.

Football.

Reasonable enough day for a Monday. 6 markets over 5 matches. I was very tired.

06/10

Tennis.

It's probably pretty obvious by now what happened. F**king Del Potro. I backed him before setting off for work and stuck in my hedge out point. I had this crazy notion that the winner of the US open who has had a decent hard court season would have no trouble seeing off who-the-f**k Vasselin in the 1st round. I guess he must have been ill or weighed down by the wads of mafia cash in his pockets or something. Yes I'm being unfair and venting but hey what are blogs for. This set the tone for the day for me. I backed Nadal and was able to watch the scoreboard at least through this match. I doubt anyone could disagree that he is not back to form yet but at least he won. I wanted to back Soderling but I was still feeling burned by Potty and didn't.

Snooker.

Yes snooker, it's the game where they hit coloured balls around a table I think. Okay I know a bit more than that about it but it's not a market I've looked at much. I backed Osullivan when he started to take the lead over Burnett for small green. I think in reality I was just chasing.

Football.

Let the disasters continue. Not a lot of football on this week. I slept through the Ghana v Sth Africa match waking only at the end. I crazily decided to trade the ET under 1.5 market even though I have never gone there before. I was deciding whether to green up on my initial trade when the goal came and I had to red out. I was still annoyed when it got to 4 mins to go and in a mad chasing moment I backed under 1.5 again and crossed my fingers. Utterly stupid, even though it came in and cleared my red, it was still a bad call. My head was a mess.
With the Norwegian Div 1 game coming to and end without much action I traded it heavily and made decent green and was beginning to feel better even though in reality I was still recklessly chasing.
I got stung on the Hungary v Czech Republic under 2.5 market and had to red out and then when that match went in to ET I got stung again on under 1.5. What am I doing. I did come green on Egypt v Costa Rica but it doesn't nearly offset my losses.

A very poor day for discipline and patience. The fact that I was tired and sleep deprived probably had something to do with it. The Potty loss first thing just hacked me off although I only have myself to blame. So once again I have taken a big hit after a good weekend, even bigger than last time. Tomorrow will be different. I am only planning on looking at the Djoko match and I will be able to monitor that one so no blind faith effort. I will reign myself in on the football as well and try not to be so reckless or greedy. It's all a learning experience, and perhaps one day I will actually learn LOL!.

Keep it green everybody.

02/10/09-04/10/09

P&L for 02/10/09-04/10/09

Football : 22.37
Tennis : -1.96

P&L since last post : 20.41

Another decent weekend but more than a few errors.

02/10

Football.

3 matches traded on Friday night when I got home from work for small green. No big surprises.

Tennis.

I was messing around with the new short lived release of Betrader Evolution and made a whole £0.09 on the Davydenko v Monfils match. More on BE later.

03/10

Football.

Back on Betting Assistant for reasons I'll go into later. 14 markets traded on 12 matches. Started well on the Russian game and continued well through out the day. Very tired though by the end of the night having been woken by my beloved noisy neighbours early again. Made the same target that I hit last weekend again, let's hope I don't have the same mistake.

Tennis.

The Soderling v Davydenko match was not my finest hour. I had done some trading on Soderling and made a little green when I backed him when he was 40-30 up serving the 5th game of the third set. He had Davydenko out of position and came up to the net and all he had to do was just tap it over but instead he bashes it into the net. Davydenko ended up breaking him and I had to red out for a big red. In an undisciplined moment of fury/rage/huffiness I backed Davydenko for far more than I should have which brought my red down to a very small amount. It was foolish as it could easily have flip flopped back to Soderling again and cost me big time.

04/10

Football.

15 markets over 13 matches and I come out £0.77 for the day thanks to a loss in the Sevilla v Real Madrid where I got caught out by the first goal. It would have been a good day otherwise. I suppose as it was a green day , and weekend, so it was a good day.


So another weekend, target re-achieved once again. The impromptu launch of Betrader Evolution was short lived thanks to Betfair not being on the ball again. I did like the new software and it is good to be able to use it in Linux now but there were a few bugs that I shall post in the Racingtraders forums when it comes back on. To be expected on such new software released in a hurry to fill the gap caused by Betrader Pro server problems.
The China open is upon us. I shall continue my method of sticking with the big names and staying away from the WTA. I'm not going to push for big results.

Keep it green everybody.

30/09/09-01/10/09

P&L for 30/09/09-01/10/09

Football : -1.46
Tennis : 2.31

P&L since last post : 0.85

Another month over.

30/09

Football.

I have begun using Betting Assistant from Gruss as Betrader Pro is still down. It has many of the same features and it's free for 30 days. Primarily from it I need a ladder interface, one click betting , and hedge function. A lot of its other functions are for horse racing and I don't use them.
I started the day okay with a couple of small trades and when I got home in the evening all the money seemed to be in the Man U v Wolfsburg match. I had done 3 trades successfully when I got caught out on the first goal and had to red out for a £10.56 loss. I was not amused but these things happen. I was able to make a little of it up on another 2 matches before calling it a night.

Tennis.

Still a bit miffed from the mistake/loss of the previous night and I suppose chasing a bit. I backed Jankovic when she was 2-0 up and hedge it out as she took the 1st set. I admit it, I slipped, I traded WTA. I'll try not to make a habit of it. I also traded Soderling v Evans successfully as well.

01/10

Football.

Only one match traded tonight. Fulham v FC Basel. I hit this one over and over again before and after the goal racking up an impressive green for one match at this staking level. I was probably a bit reckless and was wanting to come out green from the day before a little too badly. Something I will have to watch out for.

Tennis.

Just one match traded today. I foolishly backed Berdych when he was adv on Gruel set and of course he didn't take it and I had to wait a bit to green it out. I should have paid more attention before getting in. I also wanted to trade Verdasco but didn't have time to watch the match and wasn't comfortable with a blind trade with him.

Glad to post overall green for the 2 days. I really hope Betrader Pro comes back up before the weekend as I struggle to monitor multiple markets with Betting Assistant due to the different interface. I guess you just get used to what you know.

Keep it green everybody.

28/09/09-29/09/09

P&L for 28/09/09-29/09/09

Football : -29.09

P&L since last post : -29.09

The past 2 days could not have been more crap.

Football

28/09

Traded 15 markets over 14 matches and was doing okay until the Man City v West Ham match. I managed to get caught out on both the first and second goal and ended up closing the market in disgust with £10.67 loss. I ended the day £7.26 red. Not catastrophic but could have been avoided.

29/09

I could not get Betrader Pro to work today and the website and forums for Racingtraders are also down so I could not find out what was happening. I should have not attempted to trade without the software but decided to do what I could on the Betfair website. I had done 2 trades on the Rangers v Sevilla match before half time and decided to go back in again when the game resumed. I was having to type in the stakes manually and unfortunately put a decimal point in the wrong place by accident. Instead of backing £10.16 I backed for £101.6. As soon as it was matched, instantly of course, I realised what I had done and before I could even begin to put in a lay to clear it...... SUSPENDED...... Of course the goal comes just as I make my mistake, what else could possibly have happened. FFS!!!!. So I had to red it out for £21.98 loss. I decided not to do anymore and called it a night at that point. I'm not happy but I suppose I'll get over it. I hope Betrader Pro begins working again soon.

To make my day even better one of my wisdom teeth, that I was supposed to have removed about 2 years ago, has begun to crumble. So I have that pain to look forward to. I'm not registered with a dentist anymore after walking out on my previous dentist in disgust at the incompetence and disgusting attitudes of the reception staff. I can't afford private so I guess I'll either have to work it out myself or go begging at the dental hospital. Woohoo!!.

Keep it green everybody.

25/09/09-27/09/09

P&L for 25/09/09-27/09/09

Football : 26.34

P&L since last post : 26.34

Finally, a weekend without a loss.

Football.

25/09

Not a lot on when I got home and to be honest I wasn't in the mood to begin with. I did trade 2 matches for £1.56 and was happy enough with that.

26/09

14 markets over 13 matches to give me green of £16.68. I was surprised to see so much in the total as it didn't seem like I was making big gains but it all added up. I started early with the 0700 J-league match and ended on a Brazilian game at 2230. Long day. I also reached a bankroll target which triggered a reduction in stake to 10%, I had been using 25% previously.

27/09

15 markets over 13 matches to give me a green of £8.10. I'm trying not to think about how it would have been £20.25 if I had carried on using 25% stakes, it's bad for discipline. Special mention to the Zaragoza v Getafe match where I got green on under 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 markets, and I don't really recall doing it. I must have just been focused on the numbers and switching up markets as the goals came in.

I was going to write a bit about the whole faking injury thing that goes on in football, especially after some of the thing's I saw this weekend, but what's the point, it's all been said before. So I will leave with just saying how chuffed I am to have had a good no loss weekend. It really does the confidence good to get a boost like that, to say nothing of the bankroll. I'm optimistic that despite the slight slow down in progress the 10% staking will effect my bank will be better protected from mishaps. As long as I stay disciplined.

Keep it green everybody.

23/09/09-24/09/09

P&L for 23/09/09-24/09/09

Football : 5.20

P&L since last post : 5.20


Football.

10 markets over 9 matches. Last night I felt a bit overloaded with the sheer number of matches on for a weeknight. I did not get home until about 2030 and had little time to search through what was happening and where there might be an opportunity. I did manage to trade 3 matches and added to that a small green from the 0700 J-league match that morning left me better for the day than I had expected to be. I did better today than I had expected as well although I probably should not have been trading Romanian and Scandinavian matches. More out of boredom than anything I think.

So here comes another weekend full of football. Let's hope it's better than the last.

Keep it green everybody.

21/09/09-22/09/09

P&L for 21/09/09-22/09/09

Football : 4.86

P&L since last post : 4.86

Football.

8 markets over 7 matches. No great suprises to speak off. Barcelona v Satander. This is the second Barcelona match recently I've thought of backing overs on for an early goal trading profit. I did not due to the memory of games where they have been clear favourites and score one goal late in the match, although those were cup games and so I suppose the team lineup had something to do with that.


Keep it green everybody

19/09/09-20/09/09

P&L for 19/09/09-20/09/09

Football : -7.64
Tennis : 2.31

P&L since last post : -5.33

It's amazing I didn't lose my shirt today.

19/09

Football.

13 markets over 12 matches. The day started well with nice green on the 1100 J-league match. Progress continued through the day with me trading all the premier league games until the evening matches. On Osasuna v Sevilla I got caught out and took a red of £7.38. I got a little of it back on the Under 3.5 market but not much. From then on I was trying not to press but I did a little trading 2 more matches I might not have touched but I got away with it. I managed to end the day green £2.39. I was a bit miffed by the loss but par for the course.

20/09

Football.

18 markets over 16 matches. Day started well again with green on the Russian, Spanish , and German games and then came City v United. I went in just in time for Rooney's goal and straight away was looking at £8+ red. I should have left it there but I saw opportunity in the fluctuating after goal market(or I was chasing, take your pick) and after 2 trades I managed to claw back about £1.50 it. I should have left it there but I got caught out again by the equaliser and I had to red out for £19.57. WTF!!!!. I could rant about fluke goals and poor defending but what's the point, close it and go on to the next. I pressed pretty hard the rest of the day until I reached Roma v Fiorentina. I already had some green on under 2.5 and was going to leave it be but with 6 mins to go I thought Roma would sit on the 3-0 lead and so I backed under 4.5. It's 3-1 15 seconds later. I should have redded out but I didn't, in total denial I closed the windows and vowed not to look again for 10 mins or so. I got away with it but it was stupid. And then I do the same thing on Paris St-g v Lyon, I back under 2.5 with it 1-0 and 5 mins to go and it's 1-1 10 seconds later. I got away with that one as well amazingly but I could have taken serious losses. We've all seen enough injury time goals to know that. I guess I'm not as disciplined as I thought, yet. So my red for the weekend came to £26.95. and yet I only ended up red £7.64. I wish I had reined myself in on the City v United game. Ho Hum.

Tennis.

Backed Murray 3-0 after he won the first set and he came good in the end. Few daft errors from him had me worried a bit but he was never really in bother. I wanted to trade the Federer and Ferrer games but the late changes and last minute altered markets left little money and only Match Odds available so I left them alone.

So an bad weekend for discipline and It could have been so much worse if it wasn't for luck going my way at the end. Still have a ways to go.

Keep it green everybody.

16/09/09-18/09/09

P&L for 16/09/09-18/09/09

Football : -3.70
Tennis : 7.24

P&L since last post : 3.54


16/09

Football.

5 UEFA matches traded giving me a green of £2.03

17/09

Football.

12 markets over 10 UEFA matches. I took losses on 2 of them. The first was ordinary but the second was the result of me chasing and pressing to get back into green by the end of the night. Lack of patience and discipline. My losses totalled £10.49 with my red for the night coming to £6.20. Not horrific by any means.

18/09

Football.

Just the 1 match traded tonight. On the Schalke v Wolfsburg gane I had built up a green on Under 2.5 and had hedged it. I then doubled my green but before I could hedge the second goal came and while I was trying to hedge it at the higher price the third came, so I didn't get any of the extra green but at least I got something.

Tennis.

The only reason I can post an overall green tonight is a fluke. I backed Fed 3-0 at 1.4 hoping he would start well and I could trade out for 10 ticks or so. I then fell asleep and slept through the whole match. So a big green that could have been a massive red. You may wonder how I can fall asleep in the afternoon like that, well it comes from 4 hours sleep at night, getting up for work at 03:30 and the falling asleep in the afternoon for just long enough to keep me up late at night ensuring the next day is the same . Earlie's, luv 'em.

Another full weekend of football is upon us. Hopefully a good profitable one.

Keep it green everybody.

14/09/09-15/09/09

P&L for 14/09/09-15/09/09

Football : 2.85
Tennis : 0.00

P&L since last post : 2.85

Stuck the £0.00 in just cause it was in the P&L statement, more on that.

Football.

9 matches traded , 4 yesterday and 5 today. Good showing.

Tennis.

I wasn't going to do anything with the final but I started watching and at the end of the first set and after Fed broke Potty in the first game of the second I backed Fed on Match Odds and 3-0. I let this go for about 4 games and then realised it was foolish to leave it while I went off to sleep and so I scratched both. THANK GOD!!!. I was relieved when I got up and saw that Potty had turned it around. That could have cost me half my bank if I had been more reckless.

So the US open is over and why not a round up. It's the done thing. 37 markets traded on 26 matches. 31 green , 5 scratched, 1 loss. £49.67 green. Considering I started with a bank of a little over £20 after my losses on Roddck and Blake in the previous tournaments I think it went pretty well. I did play it safe for the most part. I avoided the WTA matches completely except for one quick trade on Ivanovic on the match which she lost in the end. Pity I didn't take more interest in Clijisters progress as she did very well. I did dodge a few bullets like the Murray v Cilic match in which it was only sheer luck I did not back Murray pre-match due to my not paying attention to the start time. I like to think I'm getting more disciplined, with my staking at least.

On the flip side my Footie trading over the same period I ended up with a £2.00 red. 42 markets traded over x number of matches. Only 3 losses but they totalled £17.32. I need to reign in these football losses. I need to stop pressing when the markets are iffy. I need to be more patient.

Keep it green everybody.

11/09/09-13/09/09

P&L for 11/09/09-13/09/09

Football : -1.23
Tennis : 20.00

P&L since last post : 18.77

Football.

Considering that my red for football on Saturday came to £10.83 I think I did well. 22 markets traded over the 3 days. Only 3 matches traded on Friday for a little green. 14 markets traded on Saturday took a loss on the Japanese game, Ho Hum!. The second loss came from the Stoke City v Chelsea, I kind of pushed it a bit and had a feeling that it was going to happen from the way the money was moving or should I say disappearing from the back end. Took my red and moved on.
I was out for most of Sunday so I only got 4 matches done for small green. Not a bad weekend.

Tennis.

All that from 2 Nadal matches. When the Nadal v Gonzalez match finally started again Nadal had it in hand and I got a large green on Set betting. I had no position on Nadal v Del Potro but as Del Potro broke Nadal again in the second I backed Potty on Match Odds and a game later on 3-0. I got him at 1.85 on 3-0, as Potty broke Nadal in the second game of the third set I saw the price at 1.19 and I decided to get out and take the safe green. As I pushed the hedge button money got taken at 1.27 and my hedge was put in at that loping 15% off my green. It's like comedy, timing is everything. Felt a bit sorry for Nadal but I'm sure he'll be back for the Australian Open or maybe he'll be out for Spain in the Davis Cup semi's, who knows. Fed v Djoko 1st set has gone to tie break which Fed took and it's neck and neck the 2nd. I'm not staying up for this, I've got to get up at a ludicrous hour in the morning for work.

Keep it green everybody.

09/09/09-10/09/09

P&L for 09/09/09-10/09/09

Football : 0.92
Tennis : 7.79

P&L since last post : 8.71

Football.

5 international matches traded for small green. To be honest I was paying more attention to the tennis.

Tennis.

Only a small green on Djoko v Verdasco set betting to begin with. I didn't really know where that match was going to go until it was nearly there and by then there was little left to get. I was pretty sure of a Fed victory over Soderling and so I backed him and left a hedge out at 1.01 before heading to bed, it came good.
Del Potro v Cilic was another of those matches that could have led to big loss. I started with a Back of Potty at the start of his serve intending to tade out at the end but I asked for too many ticks and ended up scratching it as it went into Cilic serve. This turned out to be a good thing as Potty lost the first set and prices reversed. I backed Cilic a break up in the second set and got out again 10 ticks later but did not hedge. Then Potty begin his comebackand takes the second. In the third with Potty going strong I backed him again and when he won the third I backed him in 3-1 and stuck green outs in at 1.01 on both which came good giving me my large green for the night.
I stayed up for the Nadal v Gonzales match hoping for a swift Nadal victory, LOL. I foolishly backed Nadal at 1.12 when he took the TB and then watched in horror as the price rose to 1.3 during the medical timeout. I stuck a scratch in at 1.12 and crossed my piggies. With the rain stopping play and a long night ahead I fell asleep. I awoke this morning to find it had gone to TB again before play stopped. Fortunately my scratch was taken so I'm clear. I don't know whether I'll be going back in on this match or not. I probably won't as it's likely to be played early and I'll be working.

Keep it green everybody.

07/09/09-08/09/09

P&L for 07/09/09-08/09/09

Tennis : 6.56

P&L since last post : 6.56

Tennis.

Monday started with 3-0 on Federer against Robredo for a nice green. I then did small match odds and set betting trades on Verdasco v Isner. I think I was pushing a bit because I knew I couldn't stay up for Djokovic v Stepanek, still all green in the end.
On Tuesday I backed Del Potro at 1.12 with the intention of riding it all the way to 1.01. When I got home from work and it was at 1.02 I was chuffed, but then it started to rise again and I dumped it at 1.04, I need not have worried but still all green. I had not backed Murray pre-match as I thought it wasn't starting until I got home from work. Thank god I didn't. I was sure that Cilic wouldn't pose Murray any problems and I don't know what the problem was in the end with Murray. That could have been a big loss if I had backed it pre-match. I did small trades on Cilic in Match Odds and 3-0. I only made small green and I could have had more but I was nervous of a Murray comeback and scratched so many trades. In retrospect I should probably have left it alone. I couldn't stay up for Nadal v Monfils which was a shame as Nadal price was huge even considering his recent form. Judging by the score it was a tight first set to Monfils then Nadal all the way.

Lots of football on today on the international front. Djoko v Verdasco will be my only tennis look of today as Federer v Soderling is on too late.

Keep it green everybody.

04/09/09-06/09/09

P&L for 04/09/09-06/09/09

Football : -3.11
Tennis : 3.12

P&L since last post : 0.01

A penny!!!, and what a hard earned bloody penny it was.

04/09

Tennis.

Today's trading was limited to a single trade on Del Potro v Melzer giving me a green of £0.85. The Murray v Capedeville match was on when I got home but I was so busy making and eating dinner that I did not get on it before Murray took the third set 6-0 after losing the second and there was little safe value that I could see. I then fell asleep at the start of the Nadal match so nothing done there.

05/09

Football.

I had not done much football trading during the week so was hoping for a good Saturday. Things started well enough with trades on S Korea v Australia and Charlton v Brentford. Unfortunately I got caught out on an after goal trade on Netherlands v Japan and had to red out for £6.49 loss. I did get £1.37 of it back on the O/U 3.5 market but to be honest I was chasing a bit and it was a bad move regardless of how it worked out. I managed small trades on 6 other matches recouping half my loss.

Tennis.

I backed Fed 3-0 against Hewitt at the start of the match and didn't green out when I had a chance, got too greedy after football loss, and had to red out when it started to go south in the 1st set , lost £5.25. Thankfully I was only using 25% stakes or it could have been worse. I did take green on Djoko v Witten in Match Odds and 3-1. I scratched a Soderling trade and decided not to go back in and that was me for the night.

06/09

Tennis.

A bit of a nail biter at times on Nadal v Alamgro what with all the breaks of serve. 7 breaks out of 12 serves in the first set, 4 in a row before Nadal held to win the set. More in the second. I was on Match odds and 3-0. Greened the 3-0 early and rode the Match Odds to 1.01. Rafa still not at his best and Almagro at times brilliant only to play like a total mug a second later. In Del Potro v Koellerer I started on 3-0 and once again I did not green out when I had a chance and was humming and hawing when the price rose. Thankfully I was able to scratch it when it came back down before Del Potro lost the second. I went back in on 3-1 as he wont he third and greened it early when he began to look iffy again in the 4th. Even though he did go on to take it I'm happy enough to have greened out early.

So, a penny. I should be happy that it's not a red but it still seems so little for 3 days effort. I haven't decided if I will be staying up for the Murray v Dent match. Probably won't as it's just too late when you have work in the morning.

Keep it green everybody.

02/09/09-03/09/09

P&L for 02/09/09-03/09/09

Tennis : 8.18

P&L since last post : 8.18

Tennis.

Only 4 matches traded over the past 2 days. Nadal v Gasquet I was on Match odds and when that all green I went in on 3-0 which went green as well. I did the same on Del Potro v Monaco but for lesser stakes. I did a Match Odds trade on Verdasco v Serra which I cut early rather than carry to the finish. A 3-0 trade on Djoko rounded out the 2 days for me.

So a decent couple of days. I'm still being very cagey about who I back, except for some moments of madness. I have kept away from the WTA despite eyeing it occasionally while waiting for ATP matches. Thankfully the losses of Deme and Jankovic and the struggle that Safina has had to win each match has made me more resolute on the WTA issue.
Today there is Nadal, Murray, and Del Potro matches. Hope to see some consistent play. The weekend football is all international on Saturday with next to nothing on Sunday.

It's been raining for 36 hours straight and looks set to continue for the rest of today, I'm a little tired of working in the wet. Woe!!!

Keep it green everybody.

31/08/09-01/09/09

P&L for 31/08/09-01/09/09

Football : 0.76
Tennis : 4.02

P&L since last post : 4.78

2 days in to the US open.

Football.

Just one match traded. Newcastle V Leicester. Nothing remarkable. Football has been a bit scarce last couple of nights.

Tennis.

A bit of a struggle to find decent 'value' so far, depending on your definition I suppose. Some of the lesser seeds that are likely to win I have shied away from if they have too low a match odds price and couldn't justify a 3-0, and of course then I have my moments of greedy madness. At work during the beginning of a lot of early matches and have to monitor intermittently so I have let a lot of possibilities go. This is probably a good thing, even though most of those possibilities won, I must try and not press desperately.
Having said that I did trade Robredo and Soderling which could have been a risk. My match odds trade of Djoko completed at the start of the third and I switched to trading 3-0 which also came green. I foolishly backed Serra 3-0 when he was 2-0 and 5-2 up and had a nervous finish to a scratch when it went to a tie break. I should have known not to touch him with the previous two being tie breaks and the tiny amount matched on 3-0 giving and indication of how the market felt about him. I had a moment of WTA madness when I backed Ivanovic and out for 1 tick in the second set. It's a good thing I wasn't greedy as she went downhill after that. STAY AWAY FROM WTA!!!!. I couldn't stay up for Murray v Guibis but left a trade in place for it for just a couple of ticks. I was tempted by 3-0 but remembering how easy it is for Murray to lose a set and how it has cost me before I abstained. He did win in 3 but two of the sets were 7-5 so not a bad decision. I could not bring myself to touch Blake or Roddick after the losses last week.

Nadal match today. I didn't back him in the winner market like I was considering so it's guaranteed he'll shorten to evens, HaHa. I'm sure he won't want to go down to Gasquet in the 1st round. 3-0 though?. Will probably abstain again. Del Potro and Fed later in the evening to keep an eye on. A lot of other possibles that I'm not sure I want to risk money on.

Keep it green everybody.

29/08/09-30/08/09

P&L for 29/08/09-30/08/09

Football : 3.17

P&L since last post : 3.17

Football.

21 markets traded over this weekend. I had a very good day yesterday until the Ac Milan v Inter match where I got caught out on an after goal trade and took a £3.33 red. This type of game shows you how risky after goal trading can be as it went from 0-0 to 2-0 in 5 mins and 3-0 in 14 mins. Fortunately discipline held and I took the red. It didn't push me red for the day but only just. Thankfully I had only used a 25% stake rather than 50%. I will be using 25% stakes more often, especially on riskier games and trades. Today was a good day although I had 2 narrow escapes with goals coming seconds after I traded out.

So the US open is upon us. The top seeds have some easy enough looking first round matches I think. I was tempted to deposit £20 for a one-off-outside-of-bank back of Nadal in the winner market as he is at 8.6/8.8 just now. I know he wasn't at his top form in his recent appearances but I can see him making it to the QF's at least and if he plays well his price could shorten dramatically and could be a good trade. I'll ponder that one. 'Stay away from the WTA' will be my mantra once again.

Keep it green everybody.

27/08/09-28/08/09

P&L for 27/08/09-28/08/09

Football : 1.72

P&L since last post : 1.72

Football.

9 markets , 8 matches. Reasonable enough return. Did have a slightly narrow escape on the Bundesliga match when the goal came just after I got out.

I hope the weekend is good.

Keep it green everybody

25/08/09-26/08/09

P&L for 25/08/09-26/08/09

Football : 0.85

P&L since last post : 0.85

Football.

Quiet couple of days. 5 markets over 3 matches. All green is progress.


No tennis traded over the past couple of days. I have been tempted by Querry, Verdasco, and Davydenko when there matches have been on but have abstained. So of course they have been winning. LOL.

Keep it green everybody.

22/08/09-24/08/09

P&L for 22/08/09-24/08/09

Football : 3.19
Tennis : 0.38

P&L since last post : 3.57

Football.

A relatively subdued weekend in that I did not get involved in a lot of the evening matches. I had things to do and so wasn't on all day everyday. 16 markets traded over the three day period and a reasonable return considering the staking level.

Tennis.

Just the one quick 5 tick trade on the Fed v Djoko match. I didn't want to get involved for the match despite Federer doing a 6-1 in the first set.

Not going to be on much tennis this week as I can't stay up late otherwise I'd be tempted to be on Querrey tonight especially after how well he played against Roddick last week.

Keep it green everybody.

20/08/09-21/08/09

P&L for 20/08/09-21/08/09

Football : 0.09
Tennis : -5.23

P&L since last post : -5.14

Well, haven't I gone off the rails a bit.

Football.

A single trade on the Bundesliga match on 21/08. Even this was a bad move as I did it on under 1.5 which had more movement. If a goal had come I would have been stuffed.

Tennis.

20/08

I relatively good day after the double loss of the previous two days. Federer, Murray , Djokovic, and Nadal all brought me green, although none of them were particularly dominating. I was able to scratch Davydenko after a prolonged period of possible red. In total £3.66 for the Tennis.

21/08

A foolish 2-0 back of Murray pre-match led to a loss. I was chasing a bit I suppose and the match odds price was low. I did go back on Murray match odds as the third set was in play which gave me back a small bit of my loss. A tiny green on Djoko when I decided to dump my back of him for a tick when he looked a bit iffy. Nadal once again brought me a good green and looked to be playing a little better. I foolishly ventured onto WTA and backed Jankovic. I was able to green out before it all went pear shaped but it was still the height of madness.

So the bank is greatly reduced this week due to tennis. Evaluating what I had done I can see :

Blake v Kunitsyn.

I backed blake when he had a 2 point lead on Junitsyn serve at 1.19 and when Kunitsyn held his price rose sharply. I should have been more aware of what was happening and not gone in when there was a chance of a large reversal. I should also not have held on with my fingers crossed and sacrificed my entire stake, I should have redded out.

Roddick v Querrey

I was on Roddick from the start but when it was clear he was not on top of his game I should have redded out.

Murray v Benneteau

I should not have backed 2-0 pre-match assuming that Murray would be able to take Benneteau. I should not have let it run when the match was neck and neck to 4-4 in the first set. I should have redded out. I should not have been trying to trade this match while working as I could not see a video feed due to crappy mobile broadband connection and was relying on a scoreboard.

Too much greed, impatience, and lack of discipline and it has cost me once again. Thankfully no full bank jobs were done and I stuck to my 50% staking plan although I'm thinking of reducing to 20%. When I think that my main objection to this is it will reduce my green, then I think it's a good idea. I'm not exactly coining it in right now anyway.

Lets hope the weekend is good to me. I've missed the odd opportunity already as I have been busy playing the new Wolfenstien game. I also have a computer to finish which I promised I'd have ready for Sunday.

Keep it green everybody.